🐻⬇️🏀

Denver Nuggets

Also known as: Denver Nuggets
Program History

2026 Team Stats (75 games)

121.5
PPG
116.8
Opp
+5.2
Margin
49.4%
FG%
39.6%
3P%
80.5%
FT%
43.7
RPG
28.9
APG
12.2
TO
111.2
Pace
118.9
AdjO
115.6
AdjD
#8
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1014 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1073 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +65 elo More → 1150 (#4) HCA +65 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More → +7.0 (#7) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More → +7.5 (#7) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.604 (#8) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.8 More → 0.593 (#7) NetEff +3.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.7 More → 0.577 (#9) AdjNet +2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.7 More → 0.577 (#9) AdjNet +2.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 118.9 | AdjD 115.6 More → 0.574 (#8) AdjO 118.9 | AdjD 115.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 120.6 | AdjD 114.4 More → 0.637 (#7) AdjO 120.6 | AdjD 114.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.724 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.722 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 68 | GP 83 More → 1139 (#6) RD 68 | GP 83

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-10-24 @ GSW L 131 - 137
2025-10-26 vs PHX W 133 - 111
2025-10-28 @ MIN W 127 - 114
2025-10-30 vs NOP W 122 - 88
2025-11-01 @ POR L 107 - 109
2025-11-04 vs SAC W 130 - 124
2025-11-06 vs MIA W 122 - 112
2025-11-08 vs GSW W 129 - 104
2025-11-09 vs IND W 117 - 100
2025-11-12 @ SAC W 122 - 108
2025-11-13 @ LAC W 130 - 116
2025-11-16 @ MIN W 123 - 112
2025-11-18 vs CHI L 127 - 130
2025-11-20 @ NOP W 125 - 118
2025-11-22 @ HOU W 112 - 109
2025-11-23 vs SAC L 123 - 128
2025-11-25 @ MEM W 125 - 115
2025-11-29 vs SAS L 136 - 139
2025-11-30 @ PHX W 130 - 112
2025-12-02 vs DAL L 121 - 131
2025-12-04 @ IND W 135 - 120
2025-12-06 @ ATL W 134 - 133
2025-12-07 @ CHA W 115 - 106
2025-12-12 @ SAC W 136 - 105
2025-12-16 vs HOU W 128 - 125
2025-12-19 vs ORL W 126 - 115
2025-12-20 vs HOU L 101 - 115
2025-12-23 vs UTA W 135 - 112
2025-12-24 @ DAL L 130 - 131
2025-12-26 vs MIN W 142 - 138
2025-12-28 @ ORL L 126 - 127
2025-12-30 @ MIA L 123 - 147
2026-01-01 @ TOR W 106 - 103
2026-01-03 @ CLE L 108 - 113
2026-01-04 @ BKN L 115 - 127
2026-01-06 @ PHI W 125 - 124
2026-01-08 @ BOS W 114 - 110
2026-01-10 vs ATL L 87 - 110
2026-01-12 vs MIL W 108 - 104
2026-01-14 @ NOP W 122 - 116
2026-01-15 @ DAL W 118 - 109
2026-01-18 vs WAS W 121 - 115
2026-01-19 vs CHA L 87 - 110
2026-01-21 vs LAL L 107 - 115
2026-01-23 @ WAS W 107 - 97
2026-01-24 @ MIL W 102 - 100
2026-01-28 vs DET L 107 - 109
2026-01-30 vs BKN W 107 - 103
2026-01-31 vs LAC W 122 - 109
2026-02-02 vs OKC L 111 - 121
2026-02-04 @ DET L 121 - 124
2026-02-05 @ NYK L 127 - 134
2026-02-08 @ CHI W 136 - 120
2026-02-10 vs CLE L 117 - 119
2026-02-12 vs MEM W 122 - 116
2026-02-20 @ LAC L 114 - 115
2026-02-21 @ POR W 157 - 103
2026-02-22 @ GSW L 117 - 128
2026-02-26 vs BOS W 103 - 84
2026-02-28 @ OKC L 121 - 127
2026-03-01 vs MIN L 108 - 117
2026-03-03 @ UTA W 128 - 125
2026-03-06 vs LAL W 120 - 113
2026-03-07 vs NYK L 103 - 142
2026-03-09 @ OKC L 126 - 129
2026-03-11 vs HOU W 129 - 93
2026-03-12 @ SAS W 136 - 131
2026-03-15 @ LAL L 125 - 127
2026-03-18 vs PHI W 124 - 96
2026-03-19 @ MEM L 118 - 125
2026-03-21 vs TOR W 121 - 115
2026-03-22 vs POR W 128 - 112
2026-03-25 @ PHX W 125 - 123
2026-03-26 vs DAL W 142 - 135
2026-03-28 vs UTA W 135 - 129
2026-03-30 vs GSW W 116 - 93
2026-04-02 @ UTA W 130 - 117
2026-04-04 vs SAS W 136 - 134
2026-04-07 vs POR W 137 - 132
2026-04-09 vs MEM W 136 - 119
2026-04-11 vs OKC W 127 - 107
2026-04-13 @ SAS W 128 - 118
2026-04-18 vs MIN W 116 - 105

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nikola Jokić Nikola Jokić C 66 34.5 27.6 12.8 10.7 1.4 0.8 3.8 17.4 32.2 - - - 56.9 37.7 83.2 - 66.9 61.9
Jamal Murray Jamal Murray G 76 34.9 25.5 4.4 7.1 0.9 0.4 2.3 18.2 17.8 - - - 48.1 43.0 89.2 - 62.0 57.0
Aaron Gordon Aaron Gordon F 37 27.4 16.2 5.9 2.7 0.5 0.3 1.1 11.0 13.5 - - - 49.8 38.3 76.6 - 62.0 57.4
Peyton Watson Peyton Watson G 54 29.1 14.6 4.9 2.1 0.9 1.1 1.7 10.8 11.1 - - - 49.1 41.1 73.0 - 59.4 56.0
Tim Hardaway Jr. Tim Hardaway Jr. G 81 26.1 13.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.6 9.7 7.8 - - - 44.6 40.8 81.3 - 62.3 59.0
Cameron Johnson SG 55 30.1 12.2 3.8 2.4 0.7 0.4 0.9 8.9 9.8 - - - 47.8 42.6 83.9 - 62.7 59.3
Christian Braun Christian Braun G 45 31.4 12.0 4.9 2.7 0.7 0.3 1.0 8.9 10.6 - - - 51.6 30.8 78.6 - 60.5 57.3
Jonas Valančiūnas Jonas Valančiūnas C 66 12.8 8.6 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 5.9 8.5 - - - 58.2 30.8 77.2 - 63.0 59.2
David Roddy David Roddy - 5 14.0 8.0 4.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.4 6.0 7.2 - - - 50.0 27.3 100.0 - 60.5 55.0
Bruce Brown Bruce Brown G 83 23.9 7.9 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.2 1.1 6.4 7.8 - - - 47.4 38.7 76.4 - 56.2 52.9
Julian Strawther Julian Strawther G 57 14.6 7.2 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 5.6 4.6 - - - 46.7 38.7 81.4 - 59.0 55.8
Spencer Jones Spencer Jones F 65 21.4 5.5 3.2 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.5 4.1 6.2 - - - 50.4 39.7 61.1 - 62.0 61.4
Jalen Pickett Jalen Pickett G 50 15.6 5.2 2.3 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 4.6 4.8 - - - 42.2 38.6 78.9 - 54.1 52.8
DaRon Holmes II DaRon Holmes II F 25 7.9 3.7 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.4 3.1 - - - 50.8 44.4 78.6 - 69.2 67.2
Zeke Nnaji Zeke Nnaji F 52 11.5 3.7 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5 2.9 4.2 - - - 47.0 25.9 77.3 - 55.8 51.7
Curtis Jones Curtis Jones G 10 8.1 2.9 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 2.7 2.5 - - - 40.7 33.3 50.0 - 52.0 51.9
Hunter Tyson Hunter Tyson F 21 7.2 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.5 2.1 - - - 26.9 21.2 84.6 - 39.8 33.7
Tyus Jones Tyus Jones G 11 7.8 2.2 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.8 - - - 34.6 37.5 0.0 - 45.4 46.2
KJ Simpson KJ Simpson G 6 5.3 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.3 - - - 30.0 0.0 50.0 - 32.2 30.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG