Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +23 (116-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gui Santos * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 31 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 28 | 8-14 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 24 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 20 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 16 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Nate Williams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Seth Curry | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quinten Post | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Omer Yurtseven | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 10-20 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 22 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter