Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (121-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 35 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 23 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 8-16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter