Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -13 (114-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 16-29 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 21 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 44 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 24 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 35 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Naz Reid | 27 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Rob Dillingham | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Johnny Juzang | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Leonard Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joan Beringer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter