Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | -1.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers -14 (116-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 33 | 18-23 | 5-6 | 14-16 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 55 | 50 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Zubac * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| James Harden * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 10-10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| John Collins * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kris Dunn * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Miller | 26 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 24 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 20 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brook Lopez | 15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cam Christie | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter