Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.7% | 17.3% | -8.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -10 (115-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 11-21 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 32 | 11-22 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wells * | 33 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 7-16 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 32 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jock Landale | 30 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| John Konchar | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter