Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (136-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Okani * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jahmai Mashack * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 21 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. * | 21 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 21 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Adama Bal | 38 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Lucas Williamson | 36 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 28 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 31 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 19 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter