Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (113-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 40 | 9-22 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 12-28 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 19 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 36 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 14-24 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 17 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 25 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 23 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter