Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.7% | 17.3% | -8.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (125-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 41 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 40 | 11-19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 11-19 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 3-12 | 2-11 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson * | 25 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 24 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 24 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 23 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks | 24 | 6-18 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Javon Small | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Burton | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| DeJon Jarreau | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
* = starter