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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% - βœ—
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 βœ— (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Peyton Watson * 37 10-15 6-7 4-8 6 2 1 2 4 30 22 -
Jamal Murray * 36 8-18 3-9 3-4 8 17 1 0 2 22 28 -
Christian Braun * 29 2-5 1-1 0-1 5 2 0 1 1 5 7 -
DaRon Holmes II * 13 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 6 5 -
Spencer Jones * 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 26 4-9 4-8 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 14 9 -
Zeke Nnaji 24 3-9 1-3 5-7 2 1 2 2 0 12 10 -
Aaron Gordon 23 5-12 2-6 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
Jalen Pickett 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
Bruce Brown 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 4 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 34 14-29 4-6 1-3 7 4 1 0 7 33 9 -
Derrick White * 34 7-19 3-12 0-0 4 4 0 3 2 17 7 -
Payton Pritchard * 33 5-13 1-6 6-6 5 2 2 0 0 17 13 -
Sam Hauser * 29 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 6 5 -
Neemias Queta * 24 3-8 0-0 0-0 20 0 0 0 0 6 18 -
Anfernee Simons 25 6-9 3-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 15 10 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 20 1-4 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 2 1 3 4 -
Luka Garza 19 5-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 11 11 -
Jordan Walsh 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 -
Baylor Scheierman 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter