Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (142-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 42 | 14-25 | 5-14 | 11-13 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 25 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 39 | 12-22 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 39 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Naz Reid | 28 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mike Conley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Johnny Juzang | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 42 | 12-32 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 12 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 42 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 42 | 15-21 | 4-6 | 22-23 | 16 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 63 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 41 | 7-16 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 40 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter