Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (121-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bub Carrington * | 38 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Kyshawn George * | 31 | 10-20 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Tre Johnson * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Justin Champagnie | 26 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Will Riley | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 15-24 | 5-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 26 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 35 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 35 | 10-18 | 5-11 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter