Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (137-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 40 | 8-23 | 2-13 | 3-4 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 11-20 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 38 | 17-21 | 10-11 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 50 | 38 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 14-25 | 6-12 | 8-8 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 32 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 22 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Will Richard | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Quinten Post | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter