Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.9% | 13.1% | -10.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -15 (120-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 19-25 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 37 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ben Sheppard * | 17 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Garrison Mathews | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter