Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.2 | ✓ (50.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -54 (103-157). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Strawther * | 29 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 29 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 9-11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 35 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 29 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 18 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 6 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 18 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Scoot Henderson | 20 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 17 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matisse Thybulle | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kris Murray | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Javonte Cooke | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter