Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +15.9 | ✗ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (123-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 29 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Drew Eubanks * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Malik Monk | 25 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 18 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud | 8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 37 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 16-28 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 34 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 11 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter