Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (135-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Harkless * | 41 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Cody Williams * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Ace Bailey * | 27 | 7-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 24 | 11-17 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| John Konchar | 30 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 29 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Bez Mbeng | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 8-8 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 34 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 13-16 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 38 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 26 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 6-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter