Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✗ (25.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +20 (127-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Topić * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Branden Carlson * | 37 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jared McCain * | 25 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 31 | 7-22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Payton Sandfort | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Strawther * | 33 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 27 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 29 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| David Roddy | 25 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter