Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +23 (135-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 36 | 10-20 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Keyonte George * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Ace Bailey * | 24 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 14 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 23 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Collier | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 16 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Cody Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 28 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 36 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 27 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 26 | 8-16 | 6-12 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 16 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 11 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter