Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +12 (110-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 43 | 11-19 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 4-17 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 39 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 6-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 35 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 44 | 13-25 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 41 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 28 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 37 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. * | 34 | 9-20 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Naz Reid | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter