Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +34 (122-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 30 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Yves Missi | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 21 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 19 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Derik Queen | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 7 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Karlo Matković | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 27 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 27 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 14 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 12 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 10 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter