Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | β (27.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -23 (87-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 34 | 12-18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 33 | 9-21 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Asa Newell | 10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Hunter Tyson * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II * | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Gordon | 24 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter