Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.2% | 21.8% | -7.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -7 (118-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 34 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 13-19 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 35 | 7-14 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 30 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 25 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 17 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Yves Missi | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kevon Looney | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter