Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 12-13 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 32 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 23 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 25 | 7-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 15 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter