Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (127-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 47 | 12-26 | 7-13 | 8-10 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 28 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 45 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 44 | 9-25 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 40 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 33 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 34 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 12-29 | 0-3 | 12-13 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 22 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Alex Caruso | 28 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jared McCain | 19 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 8 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter