Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -3 (103-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 37 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 35 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 3-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 11-21 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 34 | 5-16 | 4-11 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 32 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 24 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 25 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 23 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 21 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter