Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.2% | 6.8% | -14.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -10 (97-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 40 | 10-16 | 6-8 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 35 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 21 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 19 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bub Carrington * | 38 | 4-14 | 3-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Kyshawn George * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Tre Johnson * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Will Riley | 20 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Justin Champagnie | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter