Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (107-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 31 | 10-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Javonte Green | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 18 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 17 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-18 | 0-6 | 10-15 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 36 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 32 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 23 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter