Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -31 (105-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 29 | 14-16 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 41 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 22 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 18 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Raynaud * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Nique Clifford * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Keegan Murray * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 31 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Malik Monk | 30 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Devin Carter | 21 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Drew Eubanks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter