Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (122-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 33 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| John Collins * | 31 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 31 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Ivica Zubac * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kris Dunn * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 21 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Miller | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brook Lopez | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Cam Christie | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Yanic Konan Niederhäuser | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 35 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 24 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 13-17 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 39 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter