Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +16 (128-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 25 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Scoot Henderson | 27 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Matisse Thybulle | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 18 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Kris Murray | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Blake Wesley | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jayson Kent | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 10-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 27 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter