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2026-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - ✗
Margin 64.1% 35.9% -3.2 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - ✓
Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - ✗

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -1 (124-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Peyton Watson * 44 7-13 2-3 8-10 7 4 1 2 6 24 19 -
Spencer Jones * 43 4-6 1-3 1-2 3 2 2 1 1 10 11 -
Jalen Pickett * 41 11-20 7-11 0-0 5 7 0 0 4 29 17 -
Bruce Brown * 39 7-13 2-4 3-4 6 2 1 0 0 19 15 -
DaRon Holmes II * 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 2 1 -
Zeke Nnaji 31 7-11 4-5 3-4 8 1 2 2 2 21 21 -
Hunter Tyson 19 4-7 2-4 4-4 3 1 0 1 1 14 11 -
Julian Strawther 15 2-5 0-2 2-4 4 5 0 0 1 6 9 -
Curtis Jones 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 45 10-22 4-9 4-6 6 6 4 2 1 28 23 -
VJ Edgecombe * 41 6-17 5-11 0-0 8 9 2 2 3 17 18 -
Joel Embiid * 40 13-22 1-4 5-5 10 2 0 1 6 32 17 -
Paul George * 32 3-10 2-7 0-0 2 3 2 1 0 8 6 -
Dominick Barlow * 12 2-6 1-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Quentin Grimes 39 4-8 3-7 5-6 4 2 0 1 2 16 13 -
Adem Bona 22 4-5 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 1 1 8 11 -
Jared McCain 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 3 2 -
Jabari Walker 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 6 8 -

* = starter