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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 69.0% 31.0% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% -

Actual: LA Clippers +1 (115-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokić * 36 9-22 0-6 4-7 17 6 0 0 6 22 17 -
Cameron Johnson * 35 6-12 2-7 4-4 4 3 0 0 1 18 12 -
Christian Braun * 34 3-6 0-1 1-1 2 3 3 0 1 7 8 -
Jamal Murray * 34 5-15 2-5 8-10 8 8 2 1 4 20 20 -
Julian Strawther * 25 6-11 6-10 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 18 10 -
Bruce Brown 25 6-9 3-5 4-7 5 6 0 0 2 19 19 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 20 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Spencer Jones 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
Jonas Valančiūnas 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 0 2 6 7 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Jones Jr. * 33 7-15 2-7 6-7 3 1 0 0 1 22 10 -
Kawhi Leonard * 32 8-18 1-7 6-8 4 3 0 0 2 23 10 -
John Collins * 31 5-10 1-4 0-0 12 4 1 3 2 11 19 -
Brook Lopez * 30 4-10 0-4 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 8 7 -
Kris Dunn * 29 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 8 2 0 3 2 13 -
Bennedict Mathurin 33 12-22 2-6 12-13 5 4 3 0 3 38 25 -
Nicolas Batum 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Jordan Miller 13 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 4 1 0 0 1 5 -
Isaiah Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter