Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 38 | 4-17 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| AJ Green * | 36 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 10-14 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 34 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 26 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Gary Harris | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 39 | 7-19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Hunter Tyson * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 35 | 8-12 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter