Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +28 (124-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Barlow * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Quentin Grimes * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Justin Edwards * | 24 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| VJ Edgecombe * | 22 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Adem Bona * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Trendon Watford | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 20 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Payne | 18 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Lowry | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dalen Terry | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 27 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 23 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 18 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter