Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (122-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 24 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jahmai Mashack * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 20 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Anderson * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 22 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 17 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Lawson Lovering | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 39 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter