Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -14 (108-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 32 | 16-19 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 37 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 25 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Russell Westbrook | 31 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Malik Monk | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Drew Eubanks | 22 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter