Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (126-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 39 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 8-12 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 37 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 11-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jett Howard | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Noah Penda | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 35 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 11-22 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Brown * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 23 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter