Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -18 (112-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 31 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 10-11 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 33 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 27 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 14-15 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 31 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 29 | 6-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 27 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 28 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nick Richards | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Koby Brea | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter