Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +22 (133-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 36 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 6-18 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Dunn * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nick Richards | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 33 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter