Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -9 (106-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 14-25 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 34 | 11-16 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 36 | 10-19 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Kon Knueppel * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 29 | 5-19 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| KJ Simpson * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Sion James | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Liam McNeeley | 19 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tidjane Salaün | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Reeves | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter