Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.7% | 12.3% | -10.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -3 (125-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 13-19 | 8-13 | 11-12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 31 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 31 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Keyonte George * | 30 | 14-22 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Elijah Harkless * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cody Williams * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 25 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| John Konchar | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 22 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Collier | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
* = starter