Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.7% | 12.3% | -10.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -13 (117-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 12-26 | 10-16 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 23 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 29 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 9 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Roddy | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Williams * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ace Bailey * | 33 | 5-17 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -4 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh * | 32 | 11-18 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 30 | 9-15 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 32 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| John Konchar | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Bez Mbeng | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter