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2026-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +7 (134-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 47 15-33 3-14 6-7 5 6 1 0 4 39 14 -
Nikola Jokić * 44 10-27 1-13 9-12 14 10 0 0 0 30 27 -
Christian Braun * 43 2-6 0-2 2-2 7 6 0 0 1 6 12 -
Peyton Watson * 33 4-13 1-6 1-2 5 2 1 1 1 10 5 -
Spencer Jones * 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 41 6-8 4-6 3-3 6 2 1 0 1 19 19 -
Bruce Brown 37 4-9 2-4 0-0 5 0 3 1 2 10 8 -
Julian Strawther 16 4-5 2-3 1-1 3 1 1 0 3 11 8 -
Jonas Valančiūnas 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 4 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 48 2-8 1-6 0-0 4 4 1 1 0 5 7 -
Jalen Brunson * 47 14-27 5-12 9-11 8 9 2 0 5 42 29 -
OG Anunoby * 47 7-17 4-9 2-2 8 4 0 0 0 20 15 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 31 9-13 2-6 4-4 12 1 0 0 1 24 23 -
Jordan Clarkson * 23 5-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
Landry Shamet 35 6-15 4-10 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 16 5 -
Mitchell Robinson 23 5-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 0 10 15 -
Mohamed Diawara 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
Tyler Kolek 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 1 3 -
Ariel Hukporti 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Kevin McCullar Jr. 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter