Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -10 (118-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Strawther * | 34 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Brown * | 28 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 18 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| David Roddy | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 31 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Pickett | 29 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 18 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 8-21 | 4-14 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 30 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter