Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (127-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 43 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 37 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 43 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 1-14 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 23 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 45 | 12-21 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Luka Dončić * | 43 | 10-26 | 4-14 | 6-9 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 26 | - |
| LeBron James * | 40 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 8-15 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter