Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -1 (133-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 13-26 | 1-8 | 13-15 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 31 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 32 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 33 | 10-17 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 27 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kristaps Porziņģis | 20 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter