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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 86.4% 13.6% -
Bradley-Terry 67.3% 32.7% -
Margin 83.5% 16.5% -8.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.4% 36.6% -
Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Log Adjusted 66.8% 33.2% -
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Jones * 38 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 5 9 -
Zeke Nnaji * 36 4-12 1-4 2-2 12 2 0 2 2 11 13 -
Jalen Pickett * 33 5-14 2-7 1-2 3 7 1 0 1 13 9 -
Julian Strawther * 26 6-13 1-6 7-8 5 3 1 0 0 20 16 -
Aaron Gordon * 16 4-9 1-2 4-5 6 3 2 0 1 13 14 -
Bruce Brown 25 6-11 1-2 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 15 10 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 25 5-14 3-9 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 17 8 -
DaRon Holmes II 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Hunter Tyson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 0 6 -
Curtis Jones 8 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 4 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 4-10 1-3 2-6 10 6 0 0 1 11 16 -
Ryan Rollins * 35 8-20 4-10 1-1 4 1 3 0 1 21 8 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 4-8 0-0 14-16 13 7 0 0 4 22 30 -
Myles Turner * 29 7-12 1-4 2-2 7 2 1 6 1 17 20 -
Gary Harris * 27 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
Bobby Portis 26 4-12 3-7 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
Amir Coffey 21 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -
Cole Anthony 16 4-8 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 1 1 9 9 -
Pete Nance 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter