Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +19 (103-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 7-21 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Derrick White * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 24 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nikola Vučević | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 10 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Hugo González | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Luka Garza | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dalano Banton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 32 | 11-28 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Spencer Jones | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter