Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -10 (111-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 11-16 | 1-2 | 11-13 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 35 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 29 | 9-14 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 25 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 37 | 11-17 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Spencer Jones * | 27 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Pickett * | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 13 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter